According to the wikipedia page on the Farmer's Almanac:
Weather prediction has always been a major feature of the Farmers' Almanac. The Almanac Publishing Company claims readers of the Farmers’ Almanac have attributed an 80 to 85 percent accuracy rate to the publication’s annual forecasts. However independent studies that retrospectively compare the weather with the predictions have not shown them more accurate than chance.
This Almanac may have acted as a guide for farmers but it has shown to have no redeemable value given you are as likely to get it right by guessing or flipping a coin. That is like leaving it to chance
Science is never perfect. Weather prediction is less than that standard. But when we understand more we apply more to the problem. But it's always improving and it's better than chance. You are safer with a real weather prediction than any other method because it is MORE reliable than chance.
Science gives answers and they are better than 50 -50 and clear why. There is clarity in an honest answer
Here are your choices: Flip a coin or consult a weather forecast.
The Farmer's Almanac is not worth any interest. It's another old tradition we could do better without. It is an anachronism and if you believe in science you should examine your beliefs about this book.
So there is no reason reporters should use the Farmer's Almanac to predict weather phenomena. They shouldn't give it any press time, they shouldn't ask anyone about it. Why does it command any respect? The only remarkable quality is that it is an old book with an totally ineffective prediction formula.
Weather prediction has always been a major feature of the Farmers' Almanac. The Almanac Publishing Company claims readers of the Farmers’ Almanac have attributed an 80 to 85 percent accuracy rate to the publication’s annual forecasts. However independent studies that retrospectively compare the weather with the predictions have not shown them more accurate than chance.
This Almanac may have acted as a guide for farmers but it has shown to have no redeemable value given you are as likely to get it right by guessing or flipping a coin. That is like leaving it to chance
Science is never perfect. Weather prediction is less than that standard. But when we understand more we apply more to the problem. But it's always improving and it's better than chance. You are safer with a real weather prediction than any other method because it is MORE reliable than chance.
Science gives answers and they are better than 50 -50 and clear why. There is clarity in an honest answer
Here are your choices: Flip a coin or consult a weather forecast.
The Farmer's Almanac is not worth any interest. It's another old tradition we could do better without. It is an anachronism and if you believe in science you should examine your beliefs about this book.
So there is no reason reporters should use the Farmer's Almanac to predict weather phenomena. They shouldn't give it any press time, they shouldn't ask anyone about it. Why does it command any respect? The only remarkable quality is that it is an old book with an totally ineffective prediction formula.
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